Will long-term changes in Pakistan’s relationship with the Taliban change after the shooting of fourteen-year-old Malala Yousafzai? OSINT News does not believe so. We offer 3 reasons why. Malala remains in critical condition after a Taliban assailant shot her in the head. According to the Taliban, this kid had committed a scandalous act of campaigning for the right for girls to get an education. Yes, she was shot in the head for raising her voice in favor of female education.
Reason No. 1Few CIA analysts believe worthwhile changes will occur over this act of violence, because the Pakistan has exploited Islamist extremism as an instrument of state policy. The guiding principle in the highest level of government is to not act passionately against terrorism. Just look at the Taliban victim count over the years, and ask yourself why it still continues. Mosques have been attacked, innocent civilians have been blown to bits by suicide bombers, sectarian murders and political killings run rampant, and thousands of Pakistani soldiers have died.
The Taliban’s victimization list continues…tribal leaders who have supported the Karzai government or who took part in the U.S. directed reconstruction programs have been hung in the public squares. The Taliban enjoys hanging since it sends a clear, visual message to the villagers. Thousands of U.S. servicemen have been blown up and shot by the Taliban; they even shot down a NATO helicopter, killing all on board.
And, Ironically, Malala isn’t the only child the Taliban willingly killed. In June of 2010, they sunk to a new low by accusing a 7-year-old boy of being a spy…and hung him high. Hamid Karzai got it right after this hanging when he said, “I don’t think there’s a crime bigger than that, that even the most inhuman forces on earth can commit. A 7-year-old boy cannot be a spy…a 7-year-old boy cannot be anything but a 7-year-old boy.” Later on, it turned out the boy was a Pakistani patriot; he had told the police or U.S. troops where he saw the Taliban planting explosives. Ironically, British Prime Minister David Cameron had stopped in Kabul at the time, and he was taken back by the child lynching. He stated, “I think it says more about the Taliban than any book, than any article, than any speech could ever say.”
OSINT News agrees with the CIA analysis that no long-term changes will happen in Pakistani-Taliban relations because the entire government continues to, indeed, use Islamic radicalism as an arm of their state policy. In fact, a columnist for one Pakistani newspaper that we often research said, “…after the culmination of years of playing with fire and manufacturing demons and Frankensteins, we should have had sense enough to understand what would come to haunt us and become our worst nightmares.” So true. The Taliban is the worst nightmare any regular Pakistani citizen could possibly meet.
One ultimate madrassa-type school actually trains young suicide bombers and then hires them out to settle political disputes. In 2008, in Bhakkar District of Southern Punjab, a suicide bomber was hired and used in settling such a dispute. In Pakistan's Tank District and Waziristan, these madrassa-type schools have transformed into suicide bombers academies, and are recruiting bombers and exporting them in and out of the country. Recently, a teenage Punjabi Taliban was arrested after an unsuccessful suicide bombing attempt. He was interviewed in a Dera Ghazi Khan District hospital. OSINT News doesn't think the Taliban has much sympathy for shooting Malala!
Reason No. 3: The Pakistan government will not take advantage of the current uprising against the Taliban’s brutal shooting of an innocent, teenage girl who simply wants to get an education because an offensive against the Taliban will not succeed. If the Malala incident and citizen pressure
provokes the Pakistan government to mount an offensive against the Taliban in North Waziristan, the Taliban won’t be crushed. Instead, they will simply disappear by crossing over into Afghanistan or to other tribal areas. The entire FATA area in Pakistan is a terrorist breeding ground. They will never be caught. Pakistan's army entered Waziristan in 2004 to kill al Qaeda and Taliban fighters who were using the province as a base to kill Americans and NATO troops in Afghanistan. Well, the Taliban is still there, alive and doing quite well in this rugged and remote region of Waziristan...and Malala's shooting will not result in them being driven out of Pakistan.
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Robert Morton, Ed., Ed.S. is a member of the Association Of Former Intelligence Officers (AFIO) and writes the online Spy series, "Corey Pearson- CIA Spymaster in the Caribbean". The views expressed on this site do not represent those of any organization he is a member of. Contact him on the SECURE CONTACT FORM.