Russian Submarines Lurking in the North Atlantic: What are their Intentions?

 

Russian spy submarines are deploying to the GIUK Gap

The GIUK gap, an area in the North Atlantic from Greenland to the United Kingdom, has regained strategic importance for the United States and its allies due to recent Russian navy activities. The Russian navy has deployed nuclear-powered submarines in the waters off Greenland, Iceland, and the United Kingdom, raising concerns about their intentions and capabilities. The Russian navy operates several types of submarines, including nuclear-powered ballistic missile submarines, nuclear-powered attack submarines, and diesel-electric submarines.

     These subs pose a threat to the security of the North Atlantic and the NATO alliance, as they are equipped with advanced technology, which allows them to gather intelligence and engage in a variety of missions. One of the submarines detected is the Project 885 Yasen-class submarine, introduced in 2014, designed for anti-submarine warfare, intelligence gathering, and attack operations against ships and other submarines. Equipped with advanced sensors and weapons systems, including torpedoes and cruise missiles, the Yasen-class is a formidable presence in the North Atlantic.

     Another submarine detected in the GIUK gap is the Project 955 Borei-class submarine, a nuclear-powered ballistic missile submarine introduced in 2008. It carries nuclear missiles and remains submerged for extended periods, equipped with advanced technology to detect and avoid detection.

     Also detected in the area is the Kilo-class diesel-electric submarine. It is designed for anti-submarine warfare and shallow water operations. The Kilo-class is known for its quiet propulsion systems, making it difficult to detect, and it is armed with torpedoes and anti-ship missiles.

     Aside from these submarines, Russia has also been testing new unmanned underwater vehicles (UUVs) in the region. These UUVs are designed to gather intelligence and track foreign submarines.

     The deployment of the P-8 Poseidon aircraft and the refurbishment of the Naval Air Station Keflavik are critical steps taken by the U.S. and its allies to monitor and track Russian submarines in the North Atlantic.

     The P-8 Poseidon aircraft is a state-of-the-art maritime patrol aircraft used by the U.S. Navy to detect and track submarines. Equipped with advanced sensors and communications equipment, the P-8 Poseidon will detect and track these Russian submarines from great distances, making it a valuable asset in the fight against Russian submarines in the GIUK gap.

    The P-8 Poseidon is equipped with an advanced acoustic system that can detect submarines at long ranges. It also carries other sensors, including radar, electronic support measures, and electro-optical and infrared cameras, which can be used to detect and track both surface ships and submarines.

     The P-8 Poseidon flies for extended periods, allowing it to cover large areas of the North Atlantic and stay on station for long periods to monitor and track the Russian submarines. It also can also deploy weapons such as torpedoes and missiles, making it a formidable weapon against these lurking Russian subs, if it becomes necessary.

     In addition to its advanced sensor systems and weapons, the P-8 Poseidon is also highly maneuverable and can fly at high speeds, making it difficult for Russian submarines to evade detection. It also can fly low and slow, allowing it to operate in areas where other aircraft cannot.

     The refurbishment of the Naval Air Station Keflavik is another critical step in the effort to protect against Russian submarines in the North Atlantic. It was closed in 2006 but is now reopened and upgraded to support the deployment of P-8 Poseidon aircraft. The base provides a strategic location for monitoring and tracking the Russian subs.

     Overall, the P-8 Poseidon and the Naval Air Station Keflavik are critical components in the United States' efforts to protect against Russian submarines in the GIUK gap. It sends a message to Moscow that the U.S. is committed to maintaining security and stability in the North Atlantic and that its aggressive activities in the region will not be tolerated.

     Interestingly, in the MISSION OF VENGEANCE spy thriller, the Russian spy submarine Yantar was a cause of concern for CIA spymaster Corey Pearson. It showed up unexpectedly off the Dominican Republic in the Caribbean after it had docked in Havana, Cuba. In the spy thriller, Pearson determined that Russian President Putin had ordered the submarine to exfiltrate a former KGB agent named Markov and his Spetsnaz assassins back to Russia. They had murdered an innocent American family at a tourist resort in the Dominican Republic.  Russian spy submarines, such as the Yantar, for the backdrop for the MISSION OF VENGEANCE spy thriller, where the stakes are high, and the tension is palpable.

     But in the nonfiction, real world, Russia’s deployment of these sophisticated subs in the GIUK area is significant, given that the GIUK gap is the shortest distance between Russia and North America, making it a potential target for a surprise attack. The region is also critical for the transit of goods, including oil, between North America and Europe. Any attack on merchant ships passing through this region by Russian submarines could cause severe disruptions to the global economy and create a humanitarian crisis.

     During the Cold War, the Soviet Union used the GIUK gap to access the Atlantic Ocean from its base in the Arctic. It was a critical area for both the Soviet Union and Western countries, including the United States, which used it as a primary route for its nuclear-armed submarines. After the fall of the Berlin Wall, the GIUK gap became less of a concern, and the U.S. withdrew its forces from the region. Well, we’re back.

     The deployment of Project 885 Yasen-class submarines, Project 955 Borei-class submarines, and Kilo-class diesel-electric submarines, along with testing of new UUVs, demonstrates Russia's intent to increase its presence in the North Atlantic. These submarines are equipped with advanced technology and weaponry, making them a formidable force in the region.

     The GIUK gap may have lost strategic importance after the fall of the Berlin Wall, but recent Russian navy activities have restored its significance. Tensions are rising in the North Atlantic. The deployment of Russian submarines in the GIUK gap has become a significant concern for the United States and its allies. With advanced technology and capabilities, including nuclear weapons, these submarines pose a threat to the security and stability of the region.

     The U.S. response, including the deployment of P-8 Poseidon aircraft and the refurbishment of Naval Air Station Keflavik, sends a clear message to Moscow that their aggressive activities in the North Atlantic will not be tolerated. But as demonstrated in the MISSION OF VENGEANCE spy thriller, the stakes are high, and the tension is palpable. The ominous question remains: Will history repeat itself, and will the GIUK gap become the site of another deadly conflict?

 

Robert Morton is a member of the Association of Former Intelligence Officers (AFIO) and enjoys writing about the U.S. Intelligence Community. He authors the Corey Pearson- CIA Spymaster series. Check out his latest spy thrillers: MISSION OF VENGEANCE.